AFL Betting Tips Round 13 – Match of the Round
Thursday night AFL returns to the AFL Betting Tips season as the Adelaide Crows host Richmond at Adelaide Oval in a blockbuster. These two sides played off in the 2017 Grand Final, and went 1-1 (home team winners) last season. Both sides are scrambling to keep AFL Final top 4 and 8 hopes alive so this shapes to be a ripper.
Adelaide off the 5 day turnaround
Adelaide are off the short turnaround 5 day break on the back of a highly contested game (GWS). This is on the back of an energy sapping Darwin game and one wonders whether there is a compound energy effect. It will be all about freshening up for Adelaide this week.
Richmond have hit a hole
Richmond find themselves in a bit of a hole. They were smashed and embarrassed by the league leading Geelong last week and that was on the back of being beaten up on by North Melbourne the week before. They need to arrest this slide before the break. Richmond have won 3 of their last 4 games interstate games including two stunning efforts as the underdogs against Port Adelaide and Fremantle.
With the exception of the West Coast Eagles game, Adelaide has generally shown a great resilience and a “dig in “ attitude. This is set up for a cracker, the Tigers looking to re-discover their winning form and Adelaide looking to press home their stance as a contender!!
AFL Betting Tips – the numbers
Both teams are 3-2 the last five weeks in the AFL but have a contrasting last two games with the Crows 2-0 and Richmond 0-2. The last five games head to head has Adelaide 3-2. This includes the 108-60 win for Richmond in the 2017 AFL Grand Final. Adelaide has won two of those five at Adelaide Oval and kicked 129 points in doing so. Three of the last five games have been over 200 points and the head to head clashes have been high scoring. The average total game points for the last five head to head has been 190 points per game. The over/under total game points here is 153.5 so the over total game score has appeal.
The line has shrunk Adelaide’s way as the it has got closer to game day and Adelaide has become a short $1.22 fav. They are on a double peak performance cover run and we will take Richmond here on a bounce off the last weeks two disappointing games.
Richmond 1 unit +26.5 and .5 unit win $4.00
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