AFL Betting Tips – Essendon v Hawthorn – Friday night
Our AFL Betting Tips Friday Night game is the old grudge match as Essendon take on Hawthorn. This is 10th versus 11th but a big game in the context of both teams seasons.
Both of these sides sit a game and percentage outside of the 8. It has been a highly disappointing season so far for Essendon. The Hawks have been in the win one lose one pattern for the last 7 weeks. This game is played at Marvel which should play into Essendon’s hands It is their home ground and really gives them the opportunity to expose Hawthorn’s for lack of pace. This is combined with the Hawks not playing their best here (3-3 in last 6).
Hawthorn versus Essendon – the numbers
Hawthorn has won four of the last five head to head with Essendon’s win in 2017 116-91. Last year there were two head to head games with Hawthorn winning both and the closest result 107-103 Hawthorn. All of the past five games have been at the MCG but we head to Etihad here.
The glaring stat here from the last five head to heads is the high average total game score of 192 points per game. We get a market here of 160.5 so the over total game score has appeal.
Both teams come off the bye and the week prior Essendon 74-33 win in a sub standard game over Carlton but a peak performance line cover. Hawthorn were beaten 66-85 by Brisbane after leading by 30 points at Q1 and missed the line and we will take Hawthorn here to bounce off the loss.
Hawthorn 1 unit +5.5 and .5 unit win $2.20