AFL BETTING TIPS 10 BETS 11 WINNERS AT 90%
It was a fantastic AFL Betting Tips round and a profitable one as we had 90% win strike rate with 9 bets and 9 winners. Our Expert AFL Betting Tips with our Human Behaviour Model was in great form as we took advantage of some excellent AFL Betting options to deliver great results over the round.
Based on $100 per unit bets headline numbers for AFL Betting Tips round 9:
* Win strike rate all bets 10 of 11 bets at 90%
* Line Handicap Bets 5 from 5 at 100%
* Win bets 5 from 6 at 83%
* Profit on turnover 60%
* Unit outlay 9 units and unit return 17.5 units
Results of our AFL Betting Tips round 9 were as follows:
- Melbourne +22.5 – WIN
- Port Adelaide $1.22 and -37.5 – WIN
- GWS $1.14 and -37.5 – WIN
- Brisbane $1.80 – WIN
- Geelong $1.20 and -33.5 – WIN
- Sydney +14.5 and $2.80 – WIN
The iTipsports AFL Betting Tips The Human Behaviour Model
- The last 20 years has had a proliferation of stats analysis and algorithmic programming to arrive at a number to frame a sports market has exploded. What this has done is heavily skewed the betting markets to “quantitative” format. This means once all stats are crunched and loaded into the algorithmic program the bookies and punters arrive at a hard number and that essentially becomes the market.
At iTipsports we came to the conclusion that we would not “out math” the bookies as they have teams of quants and spend many tens of million a year to attempt to stay ahead of the pack.
However there is one area they grossly underestimate in their programming and that is the human athlete themselves. Humans are not robots and as such they are like the rest of us and have up and down days.
Our developed proprietary Human Behaviour Model that is based on Human Behaviour And Performance Principles. It allows us to make an educated assessment as to whether the athletes are likely to be playing to their best or maybe below their best for any number of reasons. The AFL is a high intensity and combative sport (like AFL). The real difference between top and bottom is not a lot on any given day. Being able to predict the “arousal” level of the athletes gives us a big advantage against the market who pay no attention to the athlete as a human but treat them more as a number. What we have figured out is it’s the human that produces the number. To assess the athlete as to whether he is likely to play above or below his usual “number/performance” is critical.
Then we overlay this with the bookies line handicap markets and apply these markets and previous historical markets to identify AFL Betting Tips investment opportunities for subscribers.
You can read more about our HBM Human Behaviour Model that we apply to team sports at https://itipsports.com.au/sports-betting-tips-human-behavior-model/
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