AFL BETTING TIPS – 63% PROFIT LAST 3 WEEKS
It is a winning season but a spectacular three weeks for subscribers in our AFL Betting Tips. Last three weeks results has returned subscribers a 63% Profit on Turnover as our AFL Bets chalk up strong winning results from AFL Betting.
The volatile AFL Betting season that is 2019 and these results play into the hands of our AFL Betting Tips Human Behaviour Model.
AFL BETTING TIPS – LAST 3 WEEKS RESULTS
* Profit on Turnover +63%
* Line Bets 14-2 at 88% winning strike rate
* Win Bets 12-4 at 75% winning strike rate
* All Bets 26-6 at 81% winning strike rate
These are superb AFL Betting Tips results and reinforce our AFL Bets methodology utilising the proprietary property Human Behaviour Model.
AFL Betting Tips – Human Behaviour Model
You can read more about our HBM Human Behaviour Model that we apply to team sports at https://itipsports.com.au/sports-betting-tips-human-behavior-model/
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What is the Human Behaviour Model…overview.
Over the last 20 years the proliferation of stats analysis and algorithmic programming to arrive at a number to frame a sports market has exploded. What this has done is heavily skewed the betting markets to “quantitative” format. This means once all stats are crunched and loaded into the algorithmic program the bookies and punters arrive at a hard number and that essentially becomes the market.
At iTipsports we came to the conclusion that we couldn’t “out math” the bookies. They have teams of quants and spend many tens of million a year to attempt to stay ahead of the pack.
However there is one area they grossly underestimate in their programming and that is the human athlete themselves. Humans are not robots they are humans and as such they are like the rest of us and have up and down days.
We developed our proprietary “HUMAN BEHAVIOUR MODEL” that is based on Human Behaviour And Performance Principles. It allows us to make an educated assessment as to whether the athletes are likely to be playing to their best or maybe below their best for any number of reasons.
In a high intensity and combative sport (like AFL) when the real difference between top and bottom is not a lot on any given day being able to predict the “arousal” level of the athletes gives us a big advantage. This is against the market who pay no attention to the athlete as a human but treat them more as a number.
What we have figured out is it’s the human that produces the number. So we like to assess the athlete as to whether he is likely to play above or below his usual “number/performance”.
We then overlay this against the “statistical number” which is the line betting result. A team has either covered or not covered the line and its ability to do this or not lies parallel with our Human Behaviour assessment.
We use terms such as “peak performance” and performance bounce in our language and provide AFL Betting Tips investments accordingly.
81% winning strike rate in the last three weeks is testimony to our results, as is our previous 3 years winning results for subscribers.
