AFL Betting Tips – Final 8 forecast
It has been an excellent and most importantly a winning first half of the AFL Betting Season 2019. Last week continued our strong winning run with 7 winners from 10 bets in a strong unit POT result.
Over the last three weeks during the AFL Betting Tips bye period we have sent out Parts 1, 2 and 3 of our AFL Betting Tips Mid Season Report. We covered every side and reviewed our pre season assessment of where we thought teams had gone right or wrong thus far. Below our Expert AFL Betting Tips review and predicts how see the season will play out between rounds 15 and the AFL Finals series 2019. You may want to consider participating in the AFL Betting Futures markets. This features bet types make Top 8, Top 4, AFL Grand Final and AFL Premiership. Enjoy the reading.
AFL Betting Tips 2019 Ladder Predictor – End of Home Away
- Geelong
- GWS Giants
- Collingwood
- West Coast
- Brisbane
- Port Adelaide
- Fremantle
- Adelaide
1st GEELONG
What a Geelong has been this season. They suffered only their second defeat this season following true to form their terrible record off the bye week (now 0-8). It may just be the reality check the Cats need to awaken them for the run home to the AFL finals. They have a nice run home playing 3 of the top 8 sides (Adelaide 5th, Freo 8th and Brisbane 6th ). They are effectively 2 games clear on top of the ladder (1 win and a crazy percentage. It is very difficult to see anyone dethroning them from top spot.
2nd GWS GIANTS
The GWS Giants at their best can win the AFL premiership. We saw them take Geelong apart at the Cattery earlier this year. They have depth all over the ground and they are potent when going forward. There is a key match in round 18 that will decide their AFL top 2 fate when they take on Collingwood at Giants Stadium. Collingwood currently sit above them (on points their percentage worse) but have a tougher run home. If the Giants can stick this victory they will go a long way to achieving an AFL Grand Final berth. Its been so close yet so far for the Giants in recent AFL Finals campaigns and if they have learned the lessons they need to learn and can somehow rid themselves of the MCG hoodoo they will be hard to beat
3rd COLLINGWOOD
Collingwood somehow has been able to win for a majority of the year without playing there best footy. They have 3 of the top 8 teams in the run home but 2 big crunch games that could decide if they finish as high as 2nd or as low as 4th . The Eagles (round 17 away) backed up by an on the road game again GWS (round 18 away) is where their shot at the double chance rests. There is plenty of upside for Collingwood and perhaps they may get their game together at the right time of the year. The news of Stephenson betting in games last week really makes you wonder what is truly going on there. when you throw in the fact that he was reprted to management by Jeremy Howe you just wonder how the team chemistry will run-Collingwoods fate is well and truly in their hands but they very quickly need to get back to playing their best footy.
4th WEST COAST
The lowest percentage in the top 8 makes it hard for the Eagles to be a shot at a top 2 AFL Finals spot. They could also be vulnerable to a top 4 spot, but sitting fourth currently the power is still in their hands. It’s been a long year where they have been similar to Collingwood winning when not playing well. It is a sign of a good side however at some stage you have to get it together to have a shot at the AFL Grand Final. The Eagles play 3 of the top 8 teams in the run home (Fremantle, Collingwood and Adelaide). The Adelaide and Collingwood games in particular are “8 point” type games. If they hit their straps the Eagles should finish AFL top 4 and can be dangerous in September in their AFL Premiership defence.
5th BRISBANE
Of the bottom 4 teams of the AFL top 8, Brisbane has the best run home. They play only 3 of the top 8 sides (GWS, Port and Geelong) but two of those are away (GWS and Port). This will be a big area of focus as the Lions have been below par however one of those games would see them a massive hope pf climbing to fifth. The “big” games have been an issue for Brisbane as the youngsters haven’t yet acclimatised to how to deal with big game pressure. The best evidence of this is the thrashing they received versus Bombers at the MCG and Collingwood at the Gabba. If they are to have any serious play in September they need to fix this problem. That said they look a great chance to get an AFL home final in week one and a massive kick up for this young exciting side.
6th PORT ADELAIDE
They are hard to trust Port Adelaide…win the ones they are not supposed to and lose the ones they are hot favourites. It has been a recurring pattern for a long time. They are starting to get some of their very best talent back in Hartlett, Dixon, Ebert and Wines. Coach Hinkley has made the big moves at selection to make sure the players don’t get to comfortable with themselves. Westoff, Ryder and Powell-Pepper have all been put on the backburner. Port Adelaide do have 4 of the top 8 sides in the run home but they play them all at Adelaide Oval (Adelaide, Brisbane, GWS, Fremantle). With 6 of their last 9 games at home they can build a real nice body of work heading towards the AFL Finals. Two crucial “8 point games” will be the Showdown in Round 16 and hosting the Fremantle Dockers in round 23.
7th FREMANTLE
The Dockers look to have a nice run home. Their match against Port Adelaide in Round 23 could very well be not only to see who hosts the first final. It could also be that they match up at their very next start in that final. Injuries have hit the Dockers big man department and the big query is how they handle the loss of key forward Jesse Hogan. That said they had lacked real connection to him early in the year yet their fleet of small forwards were still able to have an impact. The Dockers have 3 games against top 8 sides in the run home (West Coast, Geelong, Port Adel) with two of those 3 at home. If they can get some health back into their list they can make a real run with a soft run home that sees them play 18th (Carlton) 12th (Hawthorn) 14th (Sydney) 15th (Bulldogs), 11th (St Kilda) and 10th (Essendon). Now that’s a dream run.
8th ADELAIDE
The Adelaide Crows have the toughest run home of anyone in the top 8. They play 3 of the 4 top sides (Geelong away, West Coast away and Collingwood home). The other is a Showdown with Port. Currently sitting 5th its not inconceivable with that run home they could slide. However if they can pick up a few of those games it will give them a hope of home final. Adelaide has 5 of 9 on the road to wind out the year as well another testing aspect to their draw. It will be really interesting to see how they return from their mid-season break. They had built some real momentum heading into the 8-5 at the bye. Momentum in footy is not something you want to take “rests” from and they have a big game against the Cats this week which will give an insight into how they have handled the week off. At there best Adelaide are capable however there is no room for error in the run home.
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