So here we go, AFL tips & betting 2019 and there are a number of elements we want to put to you as we start on our investments with our AFL bets.
Betting Bank and Staking Plan
We strongly recommend you apply a Starting Bank to your sports betting investment. Make the bank an amount you are comfortable with, please do not over commit yourself.
We also recommend you apply a staking plan and the staking apply to units of our bets. We suggest 1 unit = 1% of your bank, so obviously a 2 unit bet as an example would be a double stake from a 1 unit bet and so forth.
The staking unit amounts will be categorized as follows:
.5 unit saver bet, 1 unit base bet, 2 unit strong bet, 3 unit Best Bet
An investment bet will likely include both a combination of a win bet and and plus or minus line handicap bet.
The Betting Bank and Staking Plan sits under the category of Money Management and it is important that you do exactly that, manage your money investing into AFL tips betting.
AFL tips betting Game Day commentary
Our Human Behaviour Model HBM focuses on the core philosophy of the variances in human behaviour within the winning and losing outcomes of team sports like AFL. This is the major focus in applying our AFL tips betting methodology and we couple this with team’s performances against the bookmakers handicap lines they set.
Our AFL tips betting game day commentary will also include recent head to head results, average margins and other key elements that we see integral to the outcome.
You can read more about our HBM Human Behaviour Model that we apply to team sports at https://itipsports.com.au/sports-betting-tips-human-behavior-model/
AFL tips betting Bounce and Peak Performance
Two key terms you will see in our commentary are Bounce and Peak Performance.
Bounce is where we see a team comes off a relative poor performance(s) and we look form the core human nature character to want to bounce back from this lack of effort in the result.
Conversely when a team has a game or run of games of Peak Performance our AFL tips betting modelling applies the human nature elements of over performance or comfort zone.
Whilst simplistic in description we then apply our HBM to this and match up with bookmakers line odds to see if an AFL tipsbet applies.
You could call it a contrarian approach with human behaviour characteristics and science.
Finally, our information is well researched and we had a winning season last season. There are no guarantees in investing and betting but we are looking forward to a strong 2019.
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