Both novice and veteran tippers are chasing the latest and greatest ways to better their AFL tipping odds. Increasing your odds can be quite tricky, especially if you’re new to the betting business. It’s also important to remember that having good judgment is not the same thing as being a smart gambler. The key difference between the two is profit. Someone who is good at gambling will usually have better profit than someone who merely has a good judgement. “Usually”, because even the best of punters sometimes have to deal with losses. It’s important to keep in mind that once you’ve found a strategy that is working most of the time, you should stick to it. Expect some losses occasionally, because they are bound to happen. However, a loss is not necessarily a sign that you need to change your technique. Let’s explore a few of the strategies you can use to maximize your chances of winning your AFL bets.
The Best Predictor of Future Outcomes is Past Events
History offers us ample learning opportunities. Whenever you’re about to bet, make sure you are aware of what has happened in the past. History has a tendency to repeat itself, and examining the recent league history is probably the best way to improve your odds. Look at how a certain team tends to perform on the field. You can get even more specific than that, and look at how a team performs when playing at home and how it plays when it’s the underdog. This type of information can be useful to help you predict what will happen in the future. You can also study what tends to happen when two specific teams go head-to-head. If one of them seems to normally have the upper hand, then chances are it will still be the better one. However, keep in mind that the further into the past you go, the less likely you are to get an accurate representation of the team today. Try your best to stick to the teams’ most recent record. This will increase the chances that the prediction you make off of their record will be spot on.
Late Isn’t Always Bad
You are probably used to thinking that the earlier you do something, the better it is. Though this may be the case for many things of life, it doesn’t ring true in AFL betting. Why? The earlier you place your bet, the less information about the team you have. When it comes to tipping, you have to arm yourself with as much knowledge as possible. Is the team playing with its first choice playmakers? If the answer is yes, then you have a strong reason to bet in favour of this team. If the answer is no, then you should expect that the team won’t be as strong as it has been in the past. Changes in the team’s line up might occur quite suddenly. For example, a player might get sick or hurt, and then they have to be replaced. The later you make your bet, the more time you have to incorporate new information into your strategy.
The Popular Choice Is Not Always the Best Choice
Football is a pretty emotional game. Punters often tip their favourite teams, regardless of how likely a team is to win. This is something you must be aware of. If you make use of this knowledge, you might even profit from it. Try to remain as cool-headed as possible when it comes to assessing a team. Make your decision based on objective assessment of the probabilities, and don’t change your mind simply because a lot of other people don’t seem to agree with your decision. Also, keep in mind that the more people are betting against what you’re betting, the more money you will make if you win your bet. Something else that you should remember is that if there is a lot of hype around a certain team, you should usually oppose it. Every year the media picks one particular team to praise, and that team tends to disappoint every time. However, if you have good reason to believe that that team is about to win, go for it. Just don’t bet on it simply because the media suggests it. Try to have good reasons for every single bet you make.
Maximising your AFL tipping odds is quite easy once you have the right strategies. What has happened in the past is a good indicator of what will happen in the future. However, you shouldn’t rely solely on that knowledge. Keep yourself informed of any changes in the teams’ line-ups, and try your best to remain rational when making any decisions. If you use these strategies, you’ll get closer to your desired outcome – and you might even make a tidy profit.