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AFL Betting Tips – Friday night

AFL Betting Tips Friday night – Geelong v Adelaide

A nice result for us last night to kick off round 15 AFL Betting Tips round with Essendon collecting for us both the $2.60 win and line cover +11.5.

Friday night serves up the AFL Betting Tips match of the round as Geelong host the Adelaide Crows.

Geelong have been the super power of the AFL this year however they came back to earth with a big thud last week after yet again succumbing after the bye. They were way down on every key indicator but it will be the lack of contest that will be the driving force for the Cats. This will gnaw at them and Adelaide would want to be on red alert for the “cat attack”.

Adelaide have issues of their own they have not beaten Geelong at the Cattery for 16 years and have lost their last 10 encounters at Kardinia Park. Adelaide even went about narrowing the training grounds to simulate Geelong as it is 9m narrower than the Adelaide oval. It means switching the ball is not as effective. Adelaide had some real momentum into the break it’s a big ask though to take on the Cats off a loss at home. Should be a high quality match!

AFL Betting Tips…and the numbers

We get the nice sample here with five games between the two in the last two years including a 2017 final. Surprisingly four of the last five games head to head have been at Adelaide Oval. Last year it was Geelong 99-75 but Adelaide had won the three games prior, Geelong won prior that at Geelong.

The games have been high scoring with an average total game score in the last five of 185 points per game. We get 157.5 from the bookies here so worth a look. The margins have not been especially close but not blowouts either with the winning margins of the last five head to head in the 15-25 point range. This is reflective of the competitive nature of the contest between these two, in particular the presence of Dangerfield adds weight to this.

Geelong ranks 1 and 2 offence and defence with Adelaide rank 2 defence but mid table only offense. This is where Geelong has the edge although they do lose Rowan here. Adelaide is off a triple peak performance line cover run and we take Geelong here looking for a strong bounce off last weeks loss.
Geelong 2 unit win $1.30 and 1 unit -20.5

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