AFL Betting Tips – Sydney v Hawthorn Friday night AFL
Our Friday night AFL Betting Tips heads to the Harbour City as the white hot Sydney Swans host the Hawthorn Hawks.
Sydney has really been up for over 5 weeks. They have won 3 of their last 5 and were super in their other 2 games (7 point loss to Pies and went with Cats in Geelong for all but 15 mins).
The question of course is can they keep it going!! When you look at the ladder and the form lines its hard to compute that Sydney are 15th and the Hawks 12th. The Hawks losing 3 of their last 5 and really struggling to kick a big score averaging 70 points the last 4 games.
AFL Sydney v Hawthorn…and the numbers
These two have by far the closest average game margins of any head to heads in the AFL. The average points margin last five games head to head is only 7 points per game. Hawthorn has won four of the last five and we get a nice sample here having played each other twice a year in 2018 and 2017. Last time they played it was Hawthorn 83-74 at the SCG.
Last 5 head to head contests
Sydney 74 v Hawthorn 83 – 2018
Sydney 79 v Hawthorn 71 – 2018
Sydney 66 v Hawthorn 72 – 2017
Sydney 75 v Hawthorn 81 – 2017
Sydney 70 v Hawthorn 75 – 2016
Of the last five games, three have been at the SCG and two in Melbourne. Of the three SCG games, Hawthorn has won all three of them so the ground holds no fear. The total game scores have been low with an average of the last five games of 149 points game. This reflects in the tight results.
Hawthorn is on a massive peak performance run here having covered the line the last five weeks. It is the longest sequence line cover for the 2019 AFL Betting Tips season and we will take Hawthorn here as a best bet.
Hawthorn 2 unit best bet +12.5 and 1 unit $2.60
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