AFL 2017 tips – Round 11 The Wash Up
Round 11 AFL 2017 Results
6 consecutive winning weeks
23-5 line bets last 6 weeks 82% strike rate
33-16 line bets season 67% strike rate
Two winning bets for the weekend in the first if the split rounds with Geelong doing the job +4.5 v Crows and Essendon covering a +28.5 line in their 19 pt loss to GWS.
We are having a great season with the last 6 weeks Rounds 6-11 all winning weeks and going 23-5 at 82% and for the season 33-16 at 67% which are fabulous numbers. The Wash Up will be out later this afternoon. Hope you are enjoying our winning season.
Round 11 –
2-0 line bets line bets at 100%
0-1 win bets
Last 6 weeks –
23-5 line bets at 82% strike rate
6-8 win bets at ave win of $3.95
Season to date –
33-16 line bets at 67% win rate
8-13 win bets at ave win $3.70
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Round 11 winners –
GWS find themselves on top of the ladder with a 9-2 win record after a 19pt win at home v Essendon. With the AFL largest injury list, it is quite remarkable that they have this win ratio, despite that many of the results have been close but in the Giants favour.
In our view they are firm flag favourites at $3.75.
Geelong is another big winner and sits equal second on 8-3 after a third consecutive win at home against quality opposition in the coveted Thursday/Friday night spot. Once again Selwood and Dangerfield got hold of the opposition and this is clearly the theme for Geelong.
Stop them and you win, don’t stop them and…good luck! The addition of Scott Selwood as a tagger has been influential as shutting down the opposition best midfielder and the inability of teams to shut down Joel Selwood and Dangerfield gives Geelong effectively three gun midfielders. How Adelaide must be reeling from not keeping Dangerfield or not recruiting Gibbs.
The Cats are $16 into $9 into $7 the last three weeks for the AFL flag in AFL 2017 betting. We did advise they were value at the $16 quote.
Richmond had a nice win v North to keep a 7-5 win ratio and look headed for the finals. Year on year, the Tigers are the most improved side in the AFL and have a strong line cover in AFL tipping 2017. Port walloped Hawthorn and it was impressive win without being outstanding.
Our view is the jury is still out on Port and until we see them beat a top four side we will sit on the boundary.
Certainly they are greatly improved on last year and the addition of Patrick Ryder in the ruck, fresh off the year suspension is a godsend. Watch Ryder’s ruck work, the best in the AFL.
Have to love Charlie Dixon’s quote on post game about The Age football writer Caroline Wilson. Wilson who was less than complimentary about Dixons “take too long for a shot on goal” last week v Geelong, Dixon in being asked what he thought “She is irrelevant to me, I don’t give a F$%*!
Other winners were Gold Coast who sunk West Coasts season with a three point win and Nathan “another week in paradise” Buckley’s Collingwood in a gutsy win over Fremantle.
The losers and there were plenty of them –
Round 11 will go down as a significant weekend for a number of teams who’s season and morale will be sunk by poor losses. They include namely Fremantle, Hawthorn and West Coast.
Any top four aspirations for these three are dead and they will barely make the eight. Hawthorn we have been on about for sometime and they are in serious trouble.
Three points in a half of AFL is about as poor as it gets, in fact 63-3 was the half time score. Alastair Clarkson, the clock is ticking, get out whilst you can.
West Coast is injury riddled but it was still a poor loss, albeit by only three points against Gold Coast. After looking likely losers in the second half, they managed to get 12 points up late in Q4 only to forfeit that lead and lose.
They look lost without Nic Nat Naitanui. At 6-5 and with a poor percentage they look in trouble despite the home ground advantage.
The same goes for Fremantle who had a lacklustre loss v Collingwood. They really should win games like this if they are any good but it was a poor result.
Like Hawthorn we wonder whether they have missed the window and with the rumours about a Fyfe departure red hot and Sandilands coming to the end, the clock is ticking for Ross Lyon and Freo.
Other losers were North and Essendon but we got the line cover with the Bombers.
Round 12 kicks off Thursday night with Swans v Bulldogs and over this week we will be putting together our mid season report card and recommended bets on the AFL Futures betting Markets.
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Until then.
