AFL Betting Tips season 2020

AFL BETTING TIPS SEASON 2020

There are significant changes in the wind for AFL Betting Tips season 2020. The challenges the world has to face with the Corona virus COVID-19 will shape the AFL competition in many ways.

That said what we do know is the Clubs, players, coaches and administrators wont the games to proceed. Assuming that health reasons are accepted, we believe that in times of great global difficulty, that sport can proceed and provide some source of human comfort in tough times.

So AFL Betting Tips season 2020 kicks off tonight at the MCG with no crowd between Richmond and Carlton and will journey on over the weekend.

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We use our HBM Human Behaviour Model to establish betting opportunities in AFL Betting Tips. Our Human Behaviour Model HBM focuses on the core philosophy of the variances in human behaviour within the winning and losing outcomes of team sports like AFL. This is the major focus in applying our AFL tips betting methodology and we couple this with team’s performances against the bookmakers handicap lines they set. You can read more about our HBM Human Behaviour Model that we apply to team sports at https://itipsports.com.au/sports-betting-tips-human-behavior-model/

AFL Season 2020 – Key Changes

Here are some key angles we are looking at from an observation and enjoyment perspective along with wondering if there will be anything that will be revealed from the changed year:

1. HOME AND AWAY AFL SEASON 17 GAMES

Whilst its nothing we are ever likely to see again, a 17 game per club season creates a unique opportunity to see a season where each team plays each other only once. It may give us an insight as to the level of inequity that occurs with our regular 22 game year. This has been the slated path by the AFL despite the players willingness to play all 22 games. There has long been an argument about the imbalance of an AFL draw and a 17 game season would go a long way to creating a draw with more integrity.

2. HOME FANS ADVANTAGE

The stadiums are lockouts meaning no fans can attend the matches in 2020 at this point. It becomes For the first time we will be able to have some insight as to what a home crowd may really mean to a team. There is no doubt in a stadium full of energy that is cheering has positive uplift on performance. Whilst at the same time it can negatively impact the opposition.

It was only earlier this week when 2 time premiership captain Trent Cotchin declared he truly believed that the 2017 Preliminary Final was heavily influenced by the energy the 90,000 strong Richmond faithful showed against the Giants in that game. So although there is the obvious home ground advantage of being in familiar surroundings the real X factor of home crowd will give us some indication as to what a home crowd is actually worth.

3. PLAYERS PERFORMANCE WITH NO FANS IN STADIUM

What will be interesting is to see the fluctuating form of the players who adjust to no crowd versus those who don’t. There are players who love to be a “showman” and feed off the big stage in front of a big crowd, there are others who are overawed by the occasion on a big stage and fail to produce their best, there is no doubt that in closed stadiums we are going to get a clearer view of the “performer” versus the “introvert”, also it will be interesting to see how players adjust to purely internal motivation verses the external that can be created by a crowd.

4. SHORTER MATCHES

The AFL has shortened the matches to 16 minutes plus time on. This is another aspect that may give us a window into the future. Over the last decade or so the length of the match has been questioned particularly when compared to other footy codes along with the general publics appetite for time savvy sport. Shorter games could reduce injury and prolong careers allowing the fans to see the better players for longer and the ability for both the AFL and broadcast partners to “test the water” with shorter games could lead to the eventuality of shortening the length of AFL matches.

5. A “WILDCARD” IN THE FINALS SERIES

With the possibility of playing with reduced rounds and the integrity of the competition being altered somewhat by this might be the opportunity for the AFL to add a “wildcard” to the finals race. The AFL first floated the concept in 2016 and revisited again last season. Seemingly the most popular method was to allow the top 6 teams to be automatic qualifiers for the finals and have teams 7 8 9 and 10 battle it out for the last 2 spots. The way it would work is that team 7 versus 10 and 8 versus 9 in the “bye” week prior to the finals series with both winners gaining the 7th and 8th finals spots. We may well see this AFL Betting Tips season 2020.

6. NEW TALENT MAY BECOME EXPOSED AND GET AN OPPORTUNITY

The AFL have also said with teams possibly expected to play 4 games in 3 weeks they will be allocated the opportunity of a “top up” draft. This is where they select up to 15 players from any league and it could see some mature age recruits get a chance to strut their stuff at the top level and unearth a Marlion Pickett style player!

7. SUMMARY

There is no doubt in tough times people turn to sport to forget their problems, except this time there may be no sport to turn to. Despite the desire of the AFL to push on for their own commercial reasons there can be a significant upside to a community going through unimaginable challenges, it is most uncertain times and the ability to flick the TV on and watch some AFL footy may supply some sort of comfort or hope of normality to return.