AFL Betting Tips – Round 18 Sunday Game Day
Geelong versus Hawthorn
In this AFL Betting game Geelong plays Hawthorn here at the MCG for a Cats “home game”. Geelong plays 2 home games at the MCG each year. The old rivalry ignites in the early AFL Betting Tips Sunday game as these two have had some classics over the years. These teams are a bit differently placed ladder wise to the old days but generally they put on a show anyway. Geelong are really trying to find their best footy after the break. They have lost 2 of 4 games and were pushed a fair way by the lowly Saints last week at home. Hawthorn on the other hand had back to back wins for the first time in a long while. The Cats are sitting pretty 2 games clear on top of the ladder, but Scott will be eager to see them playing the “Geelong” way here. Hawthorn is looking to maintain its recent very good form.
AFL Betting Tips – key stats
Geelong won the round 5 clash 2019 in a high scoring 113-90 win at the G, where all of the last five head to heads have been held. Prior that in 2018, Hawthorn won the two battles with close 11 and 1 point wins. Close game have been the hallmark of clashes between the two as the last four average win margin has been 9.5 points per game.
We get the nice sample here as they play each other twice a year and we get give games in the last 18 months. Games are generally high scoring with an average total game score last five of 185 points and we get total over/under of 154.5 from the bookies so worth a look. In 2018 it was a 118-117 Hawks win in a 235 point shoot out. Hawthorn comes here off a big three game peak performance run.
Melbourne versus West Coast
Melbourne hosts the West Coast Eagles in our Sunday afternoon AFL Betting Tips clash. This is going to go one of two ways, the Eagles will flog the Demons to within an inch of their life. Or the Demons will find somewhere deep within them the fortitude to show something against the very side that effectively started their downward spiral in the Preliminary Final 2018.
AFL – Battle of the Red Centre
Great to see this game being played where the game should be going. This game is being played in Alice Springs so that alone does bring the Demons a little closer as they have a good record in the Red Centre! Traegar Park will be the scene of this battle brings a new perspective to the game primarily to Melbourne with a “nothing to lose” approach.
As disappointing as Melbourne’s season has been, post the bye they have improved winning 2 of their 4 games and only going down by 8 points to the Dogs on the weekend. The Eagles will be smarting after throwing away a certain win when nearly 3 goals up against the Pies last week. West Coast is locked in a 3 way battle for a top 2 spot and if they are to command a home final an away game win is crucial.
The key AFL Betting Tips numbers
West Coast has won the last two head to head including this year 85-69 in Perth and of course the Prelim last year in a 121-55 smashing. Melbourne had won the two prior including last home and away of 2018 108-91 and the game prior a tight 99-96 win. Interesting is that the last five head to head have all been in Perth. Games are generally tight with four of the last five average 11 points per game, only the Prelim being a blowout. Total game score average is quite high with 170 points per game with a low of 126 and a high of 199 points.
St Kilda versus Western Bulldogs
Our Final game of the AFL Betting Tips round sees the battling St Kilda match up with the very much in form Western Bulldogs.
We have a contrast in coaching scenarios here between the two clubs. St Kilda have sent Alan Richardson on his way and we see former Carlton coach Brett Ratten come in as caretaker. At the Bulldogs former Saints player Luke Beveridge gets a contract extension to stay at the Dogs until 2023 if you don’t mind. Tells you something about the state of play of the two clubs.
Post the bye the Western Bulldogs have really been rewarded for effort. They played a ripper against Collingwood a month ago and were beaten but they have strung 3 wins together since. This is a must win game for the Bulldogs and its at a ground they dominate at and produce their best ratings.
The key stats
The Bulldogs have dominated recent head to head clashes winning four of the last five in what have generally been low scoring encounters. Total game score average last five is 139 points per game and the bookies have 161.5 points here making the under look interesting. All games have been at Marvel which is both sides home ground so no real advantage here. Spanner in the works here is the coaching change at St Kilda. If you take the Carlton and North line it is an advantage but of course it can work both ways and Saints have a deep injury list.
St Kilda covered the line last week in its 57-85 loss to Geelong.
