MELBOURNE STORM vs PENRITH PANTHERS
its the NRL Grand Final for season 2024 between Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers. We have 1 versus 2 at the end of the NRL season here. They are clearly the two best teams in the NRL playing off in the NRL Grand Final. Both teams played the Roosters and Sharks in Qualifying and Prelim Finals and won convincingly. The big difference here is the peak performance run. Storm is now on a SEASON HIGH 6 GAME PEAK PERFORMANCE RUN on our modelling. That puts them in unchartered territory of extended peak runs. The Panthers themselves are on a 2 game PEAK RUN.
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It promises to be an enthralling NRL Grand Final with two such dominant teams in a much hyped up GF, western Sydney versus the southeners from AFL dominant Melbourne. The Panthers going for a fourth NRL title in a row, unheard of in not only the NRL but Australian sport. If they can achieve it, it is some sort of dominance under the Cleary father and son leadership.
Grand Final Head to head
Head to head, the Storm have won the last 2 games but the Panthers the 3 games prior. Total game scores have been average 35.6 points on these recent head to heads. However we take out the recent 8-0 Storm win and we get an average total points or 42.5 points per game. The most recent game between the two was the close 24-22 Storm win.
We have find ourselves with a 6 game versus 2 game peak run scenario. On our HBM Human Behaviour Model this 6 game Storm peak run happens very rarely in the NRL. The Storm peak run, including 4 SIGNIFICANT PEAKS look overstretched and on this basis we have to take the Panthers, both the line and 1-12 point margin.
BET PANTHERS 1.5 units +1.5
BET PANTHERS 1-12 point margin $2.90
