AFL finals run home

AFL FINALS 2020 – THE RUN HOME

Well we are reaching the crescendo of the AFL Betting tips season lets see the likely finishing positions along with the strength of draw of sides as we press toward the AFL Finals 2020.

PORT ADELAIDE –
very well placed to finish minor premier, they have at least 2 of their last 4 games at Adelaide Oval (last round venue TBC) and their strength of draw is low, the 16^th (Sydney) 17^th (Nth Melbourne) 11^th (Essendon) 7^th(Collingwood) so unless Port Adelaide fall off a cliff they have all the required ingredients to finish top, they look to win their remaining games
Current position-1^st
Likely finishing position 1^st

BRISBANE-
Another side who have a nice run to the wire, they have at least 2 of their last 4 at the Gabba however their draw slightly tougher than Ports they take on 2 sides in the top 8. Brisbane’s run home is Collingwood (7^th) Gold Coast (13^th) Sydney (16^th) Carlton (9th), they have an inferior percentage than Geelong and West Coast so they are vulnerable to a slide.
Current Position 2^nd
Likely position 3^rd

GEELONG-
this side is a serious chance for minor premiership should Port slip on a banana peel. The Cats have a very similar run home to Port and all look winnable with just Richmond the possible fly in the ointment. The Cats clearly have the best percentage in the comp and despite being a game behind Port this superior percentage is worth a game should Port drop one. The Cats run home is Western Bulldogs (10^th) Essendon (11^th) Richmond (6^th) Sydney (16^th). Little travel in the last 5 weeks with all but 1 at Gabba or Metricon. Well placed for serious tilt
Current Position 3^rd
Likely position 2^nd

WEST COAST
At home they are world beaters but in the hub they couldn’t beat time with a stick. The problem for the Eagles is they re-enter a hub to play their last month of footy, not ideal. They play 2 top 8 sides in the run home (Richmond 6^th St Kilda 5^th) their other matches Essendon (11^th) West Bulldogs (10^th) and North (17^th) are all winnable. How they adapt to hub life is a big query they can finish anywhere from 3^rd to 7^th and the games against the top 8 opponents crucial here. They do have a game in hand having had their bye
Current Position 4^th
Likely position 5^th

ST KILDA
The Saints have been a revelation this season they do however have a testing run home.  They play 2 top 8 sides including 1 in the top 4 Eagles (4^th) so they will need to continue to bring the heat the rest of the season. They do go to Alice Springs to take on the 8^th placed Demons this shapes as a crucial game for them. It has been a good year for them they look like playing finals but likely to slide from current spot.
Current Position 5^th
Likely finishing position 7^th

RICHMOND
Make no mistake the Tigers are coming and are likely to flex strongly in the last 6 games of the year, they have had their bye so have a game in hand. They play two top 4 sides (Geelong 3^rd and West Coast 4^th) and these results will go a long way to them making the AFL top 4. Their other games are Freo 14^th and Adelaide 18^th. With them getting key players back and a big clump of games at the hub they are strongly placed to make a run
Current Position 6^th
Likely finishing position 4^th

COLLINGWOOD
Really struggling to find their way and have been ravaged by injuries, they are at risk of dropping out of the finals race. They play the top 2 sides Port and Brisbane in the run home and how they handle the teams below them will go a long way to them making or missing finals. They are vulnerable and we are tipping a slide they have had their “bye” and teams below them have 5 games in run home.
Current Position 7^th
Likely position 10^th

 MELBOURNE
The Demons have 5 games left with that game in hand from earlier in the year and meet only 1 top 8 side (St Kilda (5^th) in the run home. The Demons are poised for a nice spike. They have really got their game obviously approach with caution as the Demons are as good as any at turning in some shockers but all things being equal they will be a chance to contend.
Current position 9^th
Likely position 6^th

GWS
They haven’t played well all year yet they are within striking distance and have a game in hand. Their performances against the top 8 sides in the run home will go a long way to deciding their outcome. They have Melb 8^th and St Kilda 4^th to contend with but at their best they can take care of some of these games. They sit just percentage out of the 8 and with an extra game they look likely to push into the finals.
Current Position 9^th
Likely position 8^th

WESTERN BULLDOGS
They have endured a tough few weeks playing all the sides at the top but confidence boosting wins over Adelaide and Melbourne may get them rolling again. They are 7^th with three of their last 5 games are against top 8 sides including West Coast 4^th and Geelong 3^rd so if they are to make finals they would need to burst on the run home similar to last year, its unlikely they look to just miss.
Current Position 7^th
Likely position 9^th

CARLTON
Only play 1 top 8 side Brisbane but 50/50 games versus GWS and Collingwood plus Sydney and Adelaide which are winnable has the Blues likely to miss out on finals but season 2020 may be a watershed year for them in terms of improvement.
Current 10^th
Likely 11th