Adelaide Racing Tips 25-1 value winner
In late March we re introduced the Adelaide Racing Tips service in timing with the Adelaide Winter Racing Carnival. And what a winning bet that has been for iTipsports Racing given the outstanding results achieved by our Expert Adelaide Racing Tips analyst Value Victor. Along with our primary service Melbourne Racing Tips with Expert Melbourne Racing Tips analyst Pete Brinky, Adelaide Racing Tips has become a mainstay of the Racing service along with Melbourne Racing.
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Adelaide Racing Tips – the Value Victor method
it is important to our Racing Tips subscribers to point out one key area that gives us an advantage on the market. You see, Expert Adelaide Racing Tips analyst Value Victor tends to predict what I think the horse can do TODAY. A lot of the market is hung up on what the horse has done BEFORE TODAY.
What we mean is the market tend to look at a horses finishing position last run as a numerical guide to its chances today. However the real key is to look at what it did last run through the lens of can it improve today under the race conditions given its level of fitness. Is it likely to go about the same under the race conditions given its level of fitness or is it likely to go worse today given the race conditions given its level of fitness.
The race conditions refer to everything important on a race day to that particular race. So for example the track conditions, distance, jockey, race shape, barrier… all of these variables. And the fitness refers to where the horse at in its preparation. Is it likely to have some fitness left, is it peaking or has it peaked and now on the downward slide ready for the paddock.
Saturday Racing Tips – recent value winners including 150-1
Since the commencement of the Adelaide Racing Tips Winter Carnival 2020, there has been many outstanding overlay value winners from Value Victor. The most recent value winner was last week with Ready to Sunshine winning at 25-1 (our rated price $80 and our largest winner was back in May with Chapel City winning at 150-1 (our rated price $21).
Here is the prerace commentary on our four big value Saturday Racing Tips winners:
N8 READY TO SUNSHINE 1 unit Each Way Bet our price $8 WIN $25
This horse looks a MASSIVE price, it has had big excuses at its last 3 runs and first up was super. Two of last three runs has been 3 wide no cover and the start before was BADLY held up in the straight the horse really is flying and the 10 year old looks a big overs play.
N7 KINGSON 1 unit Each Way our price $18 WIN $50
Certainly possible it’s a length or so behind the top hopes in the field but is certainly not a 50-1 chance. Raced 4 wide no cover and battled well until final part, really made nice ground the start before knuckling down the last 200m, definitely worth and eachway play.
N 12 CHAPEL CITY 1 unit Each Way $21 WIN $150
This horse is worth a “speculative” play, Gordon Richards team is obviously going well but this horse took a BIG step forward last run, really found the line strongly at its 2nd up run and is sure to be at peak fitness now, no doubt it’s a significant class leap but happy to back it at $100-1
N10 BELLA VELLA 1 unit Each Way our price $16 WIN $40
Looks over the odds is a speed machine and possibly a query at a strong 1200m but this race looks lacking in pace despite being a Group 1! Shapes to get over from the gate ok without using to much fuel and although the last 100m a query 3rd up here will be fit enough to give its best at the 1200m-an overs play
Saturday Racing Tips – This Saturday
So that is an overview of recent Adelaide Racing Tips results as we head to a big weekend of Saturday Racing Tips. Racing Tips this weekend comes from Caulfield, Randwick, Eagle Farm and Morphettville.
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iTipsports Racing is a one stop shop for form analysis and tips for Melbourne, Sydney, Adelaide, Brisbane and Saturday Best Bet Racing Tips. Tips are sent out Friday afternoon in our comprehensive and easy to read form sheets with selections, rated prices, staking plan and commentary.
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