NRL GRAND FINAL 2025
A Melbourne versus Brisbane all interstate NRL Grand Final 2025 in the heart of Sydney, every Sydneysiders nightmare. So we have it, Melbourne Storm versus Brisbane Broncos as second versus fourth at the end of the home and away season line up.
Melbourne here on a 2 game peak run, both narrow peaks and a 22-14 win over the Bulldogs as a hot -7.5 fav so the narrowest of peaks. Brisbane is on a 4 game peak run and last game a come from behind gutsy and emotional win over the reigning 4 time champs Panthers 16-14. So we have a 4 game peak Broncos over the 2 game peak Storm.
Head to head
Recent head to head contests has seen Melbourne Storm 3-2 with the most recent game Broncos 30-14 winners but Storm the 3 games prior. Margins have not been especially close we get a recent 2 point game margin. But the other recent games will see an average of 25 points per game in a range of 16 to 38 points. Total game points average 44.4 points per game with Melbourne average 24 and Broncos 20.4 points per game.
Final outcome
There is a two game peak differential between the two teams and we have the Brisbane Broncos 4 game peak run as overstretched. They also come off the HBM Human Behaviour pressure meter with a come from behind win draining emotional levels. Melbourne Storm had two trough losses and then have bounced nicely off that with two narrow peaks. They are due for a significant peak win. Melbourne Storm is the bet for us.
MELBOURNE STORM 1 unit -2.5 and 1 unit win $1.75
MELBOURNE STORM .25 unit 13+ $3.60
TOTAL GAME POINTS 1 unit OVER 40.5 points
STORM TOTAL GAME POINTS .5 unit OVER 21.5 points
Anytime scorer – Katou $2.30 Storm, Walsh $2.30, Karapani $2.40 and Shibasaki $3.30 Broncos
