Melbourne Racing Tips – Stakes Day, Flemington late mail update
N5 Hosier 3 UNIT BEST BET $1.80 is an import first up and unbeaten at 4 starts in Australia last prep. Looks promising type who should get day off to good start for favourite backers.
N9 Equation 1 unit saver $6 lightly raced Sydney sider with good strike rate and draws well with J Mac to ride.
late mail: keen on Hosier 3 units saver 1 unit Equation 1 unit.
N1 Warning 2 unit STRONG BET $2.80 Derby winner from couple years ago who got back in winning form in good grade in Sydney last time out and one to beat again.
N4 Lunar Flare1 unit value $4.50 Valley Gold Cup winner last start and runner up franked form running good 4th in Cup Tuesday.
late mail: we like Warning as a Strong Bet, no screaming value with Lunar Flare as the danger.
N6 Alcyone 2 unit STRONG BET $3.50 going good this prep winning first up then placing at last 2 starts in town. Looks one to beat in fairly open event.
N5 Tyche Goddess 1 unit value $6 had support at Cranbourne last start when led and battled on to run second. Draws to be on speed again and looks well placed.
N13 Vitruvius 1 unit saver $8 lightly raced 4yr old with good strike rate and despite wide gate can figure as has more upside than most of these.
late mail: Alcyone is our preferred selection and a Strong Bet, Vitruvius the danger and Tyche Goddess is the value overlay bet.
N2 Scissor Step 1 unit value $5 beaten by smart type at the valley last time out and repeat effort would see him in the finish.
N6 Our Heidi 1 unit value $5 2 starts and twice runner up, both times in good grade and despite wide gate, looks top chance on narrow defeat at the valley Cox Plate day.
N9 Jimmy the Bear 1 unit value $10 2 from 2 up the bush but looks promising and gets soft draw.
late mail: Our Heidi strongly supported overnight, Jimmy the Bear is a 1 unit bet.
N10 Ghodeleine 2 unit STRONG BET $10 been up for a while but going good this prep winning twice and been unlucky couple time when could’ve easily won.
N1 Nimalee value $6 close up 4th in Empire Rose last week and this looks easier and extra distance in favour.
N2 Only Words value $7 good win at the valley last start and stable though enough of her to run in QLD Oaks last prep.
N3 Starelle value $9 doesn’t win out of turn but looking for 2000m now after second placing over 1600 last start.
N5 Mimis Award value $8 fitter for 2 runs this prep and won over 2500m in good grade in Adelaide at carnival earlier in year.
late mail: wide open affair here, Ghodeleine is the value Strong Bet, Starelle is overs so we take these two as the value but check odds for overs.
N1 Nature Strip 3 UNIT BEST BET $1.50 best sprinter in the country and hard to see him getting beat in easiest assignment for a while. Will be short odds. Multi maybe.
N6 Bella Nipotina value $9 in form mare facing toughest test to date but looks good place hope.
late mail: cant see Nature Strip losing, its $1.40 now and take in any multi bets you have, if you want to go around the fav, small saver Bella Nipotina as the value bet.
N11 Chaillot 2 unit STRONG BET $4 got too far back last week in Empire Rose but got home hard late to finish 7th. That was first run for 5 weeks and on the quick back up and at best would be one to beat.
N2 Sinawaan value $7 import having first start here and big watch with J Mac to steer.
N6 Age of Chivalry value $10 been a while between wins for this bloke but looks in good at weights and with low draw after handy first up run over unsuitable trip.
late mail: like the quick back up Chaillot 2 units, Age of Chivalry is overs 1 unit, Sinawaan has had support but under our rated price.
N4 Zaaki 3 UNIT BEST BET $2.40 scratched race morning from Cox Plate with elevated temp and would’ve been one to beat there. At best looks one of the better bets on card.
N9 Colette value $6 in form mare winning G1 Empire Rose last week and chances enhanced if any give in track.
late mail: Zaaki back in the winners circle here BEST BET 3 units, saver Colette the danger.
N5 Itsourtime 2 unit STRONG BET $5 lightly raced 4yr old who was very good at one and only prep to date culminating in run in G1 Aust Guineas, taking punt on him being ready for first up go in open race.
N14 Duchess of Dorset 2 unit STRONG BET $5 4 starts for 3 wins including easy Bendigo win last start and ready for rise in grade here.
late mail: keen on these two and backing both 2 unit Strong Bets.
1st leg 1
2nd leg 2,4,5,6,11,14
3rd leg 4,9
4th leg 5,14
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