Our LEAN Bets AFL Round 1

COLLINGWOOD WIN $2.76 √
COLLINGWOOD +13.5 √
GEELONG/COLLINGWOOD Total Game Points under 165.5
NORTH/WCE Total Game Points Under 172.5 √
BRISBANE WIN $1.80
MELBOURNE/BULLDOGS Total Game Points +168.5 √
SYDNEY WIN $1.59 √SYDNEY -8.5 √ADELAIDE $2.26
ADELAIDE +7.5
LEAN HAWTHORN +9.5
HAWTHORN WIN $2.42
Lean Bets only apply in Round 1 as we require minimum 1 week of data for our HBM Human Behaviour Model to assess peak and trough performance. As it pans out of the 12 lean bets for Round 1 we finish 6-6.
So we head to AFL betting round 2 and what do we learn from round 1? Well, the truth is very little as in the context of a 6 month season it is a long way to September. We started with a 116 point game on Thursday night, got a 233 point game Friday night and ended with a Ross Lyon defensive squeeze game low 119 points in the Sunday late game.
In a few words we summarize as following Round 1 games:
Richmond v Carlton – like watching a 0-0 draw in soccer BUT massive crowd
Collingwood v Geelong – offensive shoot out BUT where’s the defense
North v West Coast – the bottom two teams play out
Port v Brisbane – powerful start for Port, bad day out for Brisbane
Melbourne v Bulldogs – Demons on a rampage, poor night Dogs
Sydney v Gold Coast – Men versus Boys
GWS v Adelaide – gutsy Giants, Oh No Crows
Essendon v Hawthorn – seen it all before Bombers, Hawks headed to bottom
St Kilda v Fremantle – Ross is BACK, Fremantle bad day in office
So we move to AFL Rd 2 back with initial thoughts Wednesday before the first game of Rd 2 Thursday night Carlton v Geelong.
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