COLLINGWOOD VS ESSENDON (MCG)
TUESDAY 25th APRIL ANZAC DAY
FINALLY we have a CRACKER of an ANZAC day game with both sides up and rolling it’s the match of the round as 2nd plays 3rd.
Essendon stood up to their toughest test last week taking on and disposing of a finalist from the last year in the Demons. Their previous wins had been against mediocre sides but this win was GOOD. It was a “SIGNIFICANT PEAK” effort backing up their previous “peak” win over the Giants.
Collingwood were able to secure the win against a gallant Saints outfit who did not surrender. However the winning margin put the Pies in a “TROUGH” win performance on our Human Behaviour modelling.
In general this game no matter where the two sides sit can be a 50-50 contest. The Bombers a BIG Melbourne club may just be starting to wake from the slumber. But when Coach Scott says post game we need to “keep a lid on it” you can sense the excitement (and possible over confidence) is starting to build.
Head to head Collingwood has won the last 2 but Essendon the 3 games prior. 4 of the 5 head to head have been relatively tight with 2 under 10 points and 4 of the last 5 average 13 point margin in a range of 4 to 24 points.
Collingwood are off a “TROUGH” win, this profile can be GOOD. They get the 4 points but get good learnings on improvement out of the game as well the late goals they conceded will be addressed. And fixed with Essendon off such a BIG peak effort there is a high chance of them dropping back in performance here as well. Collingwood to BOUNCE here are the bet.
COLLINGWOOD BET 1.5 UNIT WIN $1.50 and .5 UNIT -13.5
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