We head to Week 13 NFL Betting as the NFL play offs now only A MONTH AWAY as divisional and conference positions tighten up. We come to week 13 and from the Thanksgiving Day games we are 1-1, a win on the Packers but missed on the Giants. Here we go Week 13:
When you look at the play off bubble position this game is critical for the 7-4 Chargers and the 6-5 Falcons. The playoff likelihood drops significantly for the loser here so stakes are high. Both teams off trough losses, last week a tight loss for the Chargers and the Falcons off a bye and prior two trough losses, one significant. We look for a bounce here from the Falcons in a small play.
BET FALCONS 1 unit +1.5
The Jets are on life support in what has been a disappointing season and at 3-8 off a bye and prior that 2 trough performances in what has been a trough riddled season. The Seahawks are 6-5 and in wildcard playoff contention and a strong 3 game peak performance run. That peak run does look over stretched and we expect a Jets bounce here off the Seahawks peak run.
BET JETS 2 units +1.5
The Titans 3-8 bounced off a 6 game trough run last week and a nice bet for us in a peak win. They play the 7-5 Commanders still in play off contention BUT here off a 4 game trough run, prior that a nice peak run. We look to the Commanders to bounce off the trough run that looks over extended.
BET COMMANDERS 2 units win $1.40 and 1 unit -5.5
Evenly matched the 4-7 Saints on a 2 game peak run prior last weeks bye, prior that a 5 game trough run. They play the 5-6 Rams who were on a 3 game peak run BUT last week tripped to a narrow trough loss. We look for a Rams bounce here on the back of the Saints peak run.
BET RAMS 1.5 units win $1.70
NFL GAME OF THE ROUND is the 9-2 Eagles top of the NFC East up against the 8-4 Ravens top of the AFC North. The difference here is the Eagles on a strong 3 game peak run but last game a narrow peak. The Ravens a peak win last week having had a 2 game trough run prior. So we have a 3 game versus 1 game peak run and we take the Ravens on this peak differential
BET RAVENS 1.5 units win $1.60
The Bills are 9-2 and off a bye prior that a 2 game peak run that includes the win over the Chiefs, its only loss for the season. The 49ers having a horrid season but still in the play off position given the tightness of the NFC West. They are here on a 3 game trough run and last game a significant trough loss to the Packers 10-38. They need to bounce and we have them bouncing hard off the trough run on the back of the Bills 2 game peak
BET 49ers 1.5 units +6.5 and 1 unit win $3.35
The Broncos are 7-5 and putting themselves into Wildcard position with a form reversal and are here on a 3 game peak performance run, one of them a significant peak. They play the 3-8 Browns off a BIG peak win over the Steelers. The Broncos peak run does look overstretched and despite a peak last week we take the Browns on the peak differential.
BET BROWNS 1 unit +5.5 and .5 unit win $3.15

