It is the greatest show on earth (depends who you talk to) but in our opinion this is it…the NFL. We use our HBM Human Behaviour Modelling successfully in a range of sports and the combative and volatile nature of the NFL makes the HBM well suited and can be a profitable play.
NFL BETTING 2023-24 FULL SEASON TIPS PACKAGE
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Betting Bank and Staking Plan
We strongly recommend you apply a starting bank to your NFL tips sports betting investment. Make the investment level an amount you are comfortable with, please do not over commit or over stretch your finances. We also would recommend you apply a staking plan and the staking apply to units of our bets.
Peak and Trough Performances
We utilize our peak and trough performance measurements against market expectations as a key KPI criteria in ascertaining a betting opportunity. Further we apply a SIGNIFICANT peak and trough factor to our bets in positions where teams significantly over or under perform to market expectations.
NFL PLAY OFF BETTING RESULTS 2022-23 SEASON
We take a look at last year’s 2022-23 NFL BIG Playoff betting tips results using our HBM Human Behaviour Model and the peak and trough performance methodology.
Bengals vs Ravens – Wildcard Playoff
RAVENS BEST BET 2.5 unit +8.5 and .5 unit $4.60 win
The Bengals here very much the underdog in a 10-7 season against a flying Bengals and a BIG 7 game peak performance run. The Bengals peak run looked stretched and the line too heavily in favour of the Bengals. It was a tight contest and we got the result with the Bengals home but the line bet covered in a 17-24 result.
RAVENS 17-24 line cover
Eagles vs Giants – NFC Divisional Playoff
EAGLES 1 unit -7.5 and 1 unit WIN $1.30
The Giants came here off a strong 34-21 win in the Wildcard game and that took them to a 3 game peak run. They came up against the Eagles a bye the week prior and ready to rock and roll in the Divisional Final. They had a soft win in the final home and away game in a trough performance and we expected a strong bounce. Whilst the line was -7.5 we had the Giants 3 game peak run over extended and the Eagles came away with a comfortable 38-7 win.
EAGLES 38-7 WIN
Chiefs vs Bengals – AFC Championship
CHIEFS BEST BET 3 UNIT WIN $1.80
The Bengals came to the AFC Championships on a MASSIVE 9 game peak performance run to market expectation. This made the Bengals highly vulnerable on our modelling up against the Chiefs off a flat trough win as a -9.5 fav over the Jaguars. The Chiefs proved too good in a tight 23-20 win delivering us a BEST BET result.
CHIEFS 23-20 WIN
