Moonee Valley Sat Dec 27th
Race1
Too many first starters and a lot of unknowns in this race. If you really want to have a bet in this one, follow the money. I’ll be watching on.
Race 2
Thinking Moody holds the key here. Tan Tat Sun was terrific first up winning up the bush at kyneton and looks the obvious top pick. Stable mate San Nicasio is first up here but showed last preparation he has good ability. If ready to go here, looks the danger to the favourite.
Best Bet 2 units #2 Tan Tat Sun $2
Value Bet 0.5 unit #7 San Nicasio $7
Race 3
Every Faith looks suited here second up over the 1600m. First up got home hard for third over unsuitable distance. Miss Maggiebeel was disappointing when beaten as short price favourite. On previous form, would be right among the chances here.
Strong Bet 1 unit #3 Every Faith $5
Strong Bet 1. Unit #7 Miss Maggiebeel $5
Race 4
Search Squad was a good winner first up at Bendigo after being very competitive last preparation in strong class. 1200m second up looks ideal as long as they can run on. Mahican has been a little disappointing but thinking at his best first up here wouldn’t surprise. Boomwaa was disappointing last start but did knuckle over when they jumped and still managed to only be beaten by less than 2 lengths. Gets in well at the weights after the claim so should be in front for a long way. Big watch on Wales first up here as is two times winner first up from 3 goes.
Strong Bet 1 unit #6 Search Squad $6
Strong Bet 1 unit #10 Mahican $6
Value Bet 0.5 unit #5 Wales $12
Value Bet 0.5 unit #11 Boomwaa $10
Race 5
Purple Smile led all the way last start at Mornington to win by a good margin. If can get own way in front, will be the one to beat. Kazemi was an easy 5.5 length winner last start at Geelong. Repeat effort here would see him in the money. Wyoming was a good second at Flemington last start and with the services of D. Oliver has to be included even though drawn wide.
Strong Bet 1 unit #6 Purple Smile $4
Value Bet 0.5 unit #8 Kazemi $6
Value Bet 0.5 unit #11 Wyoming $6
Race 6
Sweet Emily boasts both an impressive strike rate and record at the track. From a good barrier draw and apprentices claim is my top pick. Beach Front also has good record here and is coming off a win at the Valley last start. Big watch on Whistle Baby first up but has plenty of ability.
Strong Bet 1 unit #5 Sweet Emily $3.50
Value Bet 0.5 unit #4 Beach Front $5
Value Bet 0.5 unit #6 Whistle Baby $8
Race 7
The Sicilian was a good second at Flemington last week when well fancied. Has to negotiate wide barrier draw but if can, one to beat. Navajo Run broke through last start for a good win at Sandown and can go on with it here. Second Bullet is the third emergency here but if gains a start must be included after a good second at Sandown last start.
Strong Bet 1 unit #5 The Sicilian $4.50
Value Bet 0.5 unit #13 Navajo Run $6
Value Bet 0.5 unit #17 Second Bullet $7
Race 8
Tough event to close out the program and hopefully already winning by now. Seattleite was a good winner two starts ago but looked a little disappointing last time out. On previous run would be one of the chances. Cadel Triomphe was well beaten last start when heavily backed over longer journey. Has been freshened up for this and wouldn’t surprise to see him running into the money over the 1600m.
Value Bet 0.5 unit #9 Seattleite $7
Value Bet 0.5 unit #11 Cadel Triomphe $9
Quadrella
1st leg: 4, 6, 8, 11
2nd leg: 4, 5, 6
3rd leg: 5, 11, 13, 17
4th leg: 2, 5, 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 16, 17, 18
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