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Pete Brinky - Sydney & Melbourne Horse Racing Tips & Sports Betting - All Carnivals, AFL, NFL & EPL.

Sydney & Melbourne Horse Racing Tips & Sports Betting - All Carnivals, AFL, NFL & EPL.

Human Behavior Model - Sydney & Melbourne Horse Racing Tips & Sports Betting - All Carnivals, AFL, NFL & EPL.

Melbourne Racing Tips

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Caulfield Saturday October 14

Race 2
N3 Jorda 2 unit strong $4
N2 Split Lip 1 unit value bet $6
Jorda beaten favourite last time out but had excuses.  Previous form in Sydney very good and looks top chance on that form. Split Lip is a promising Adelaide galloper who’s been terrific at 2 runs in Vic and looks well suited here from soft draw.
Late Mail: backing Jorda 2 unit win bet and saving 1 unit on Split Lip

Race 3
N1 Legless Veuve 2 unit strong bet $4
N3 Desert Lashes 2 unit strong bet $5
N10 Leotie 1 unit value bet $16
Legless Veuve was a terrific run when second, first up off a break.  Repeat effort would see her one to beat. Desert Lashes is an Adelaide raider with super record back home and has to be respected. Leotie is a smart mare on her day but long time out of winners circle.  Wouldn’t surprise fresh here at odds.
Late Mail: Keen on both Legless Veuve and Desert Lashes and backing both 2 units win and a .5 unit each way saver on Leotie at $40.

Race 4
N5 Aloft 2 unit strong bet $4
N3 Foundry 1 unit value bet $5
N8 Gallic Chieftain 1 unit value bet $7
Aloft was a win first up before placing behind stable mate last start. Looks suited here. Foundry back in winning form in Sydney last time out and can go on with it here. Gallic Chieftain gets to more suitable journey here and ready to fire after 2 runs this prep.
Late Mail: All three selections well in the market so look for overlay value, some spekking for Gallic Chieftain overnight.

Race 5
N8 Attention 2 unit strong bet $4
N14 Orient Line 1 unit value bet $12
Attention was a good run first up down the straight before fading after riding hot speed last start.  Drop in class here suits and will prove hard to beat. Orient Line hit the line good over unsuitable journey last time out and gets to more preferred journey here. Can run a race at value odds from soft draw.
Late Mail: Orient Line is outstanding value here at big odds and back each way 1 unit and back Attention win.

R6 Thousand Guineas
N1 Shoals 2 unit Strong bet $4.50
N3 Booker 2 unit Strong bet $4.50
N6 Leathernlace 1 unit value $13
Shoals is a promising filly with 4 wins from 5 starts. Narrow defeat last time out and blinkers go on here. Booker beat the prior last time out and also very promising. Will be on pace. Thinking Vic form will stand up here. Leathernlace beaten favourite last week at Flemington but is better than that and can run a race at double figure odds. Coming off lesser grade but wouldn’t surprise to see her in the money.
Late Mail: look for overlay value here in our selections with Booker the current value chance at $8 and our other two selections in market.

Race 7
N1 Hartnell 3 unit Best Bet $3
N11 Bonneval 2 unit strong $3.50
N2 Gailo Chop 1 unit value bet $7
Hartnell last chance for this bloke but stable changed mind and come here thinking WFA 2000m his go. Thinking he can prove them right! Bonneval looks main danger but Caulfield Cup her goal next week. Gailo Chop close up third to top two selections last time out and could be the blow out.
Late Mail: backing Hartnell here as a best bet expecting a bounce with Bonneval the obvious danger as a saver and Gailo Chop not out of this.

R8 Caulfield Guineas
N6 Royal Symphony 2 unit Strong bet $4
N16 Catchy 2 unit Strong bet $4.50
Royal Symphony promising 3yr old who has only been beaten once in 5 starts. That was last start when had to go too far back from awkward draw.  Drawn mid field here and will be handier in run than last time out. Looks future star and one to beat here. Catchy is the only filly in field taking on the boys here.  Could’ve gone to thousand Guineas but stable obviously thinking she can be competitive here. Has terrific record and looks main other winning hope.
Late Mail: backing Royal Symphony 2 units should be at best here with save on the filly Catchy.

Race 9
N9 Egg Tart 2 unit strong bet $5
N10 Mr Sneaky 1 unit value bet $9
N15 Theanswermyfriend 1 unit value bet $9
Egg Tart 2 unit strong bet $5 missed a run in Epsom where she was a top hope with minor ailment.  If good to go will be hard to beat on terrific form of last prep. Mr Sneaky 1 unit value bet $9 underrated galloper hard to leave out on form of late.  Last 5 runs producing 3 win and 2 seconds. Theanswermyfriend well fancied last start but over raced when leading on hot pace.  Happy to give another go here on previous form.
Late Mail: keen Egg Tart as a 2 unit bet and saving on Mr Sneaky and Theanswermyfriend who has had spekking.

Race 10
N9 Sheidel 2 unit strong bet $4
N5 Illustrious Lad 1 unit value bet $12
N11 Super Cash 1 unit value bet $6
Sheidel was a terrific third in G1 Moir last time out when looked winner on turn. Loves the track and distance and one they have to beat.
Illustrious Lad good sprinter on his day but hard to catch.  Good fresh record and gets soft draw here. Super Cash underrated sprinting mare who should have more wins to her name.  Also goes good fresh and cushy draw suits.
Late Mail: look for overlay value here.

Quadrella –
1st leg – 1,2,11
2nd leg – 6,11,16
3rd leg – 1,4,6,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
4th leg – 2,5,9,11







Looking Forward

  • Sat 11 February CF Orr Stakes
  • Sat 25 February Blue Diamond Stakes
  • Sat 11 March Australian Cup
  • Sat 11 March Newmarket Handicap
  • Sat 18 March Golden Slipper
  • Sat 25 March The BMW Stakes
  • Sat 1 April Doncaster Handicap
  • Sat 1 April AJC Australian Derby
  • Sat 8 April Queen Elizabeth Stakes
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