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Melbourne Racing Sept 6 2014

Race 1
Count Encosta was good winner here last time and thinking on the minimum weight Is the one to beat again.  De Fine Delago is working up to a win and at eachway odds, looks the value.
Strong bet 1 unit #7 Count Encosta $2.60
Value bet 0.5 unit #4 Define De Lago $8

Race 2
Text n Hurley has been good in 2 runs this prep, getting home hard late on both occasions.  Has won here before and looks good hope.  Aloha a won well first up for Weir stable and then good again last time in running second.  They look the 2 top picks and value comes from Averau, who had support first up but didn’t fire.  May be better suited if ridden more quietly.
Strong bet 1 unit #1 Text n Hurley $3.50
Strong bet 1 unit #4 Aliyana $3.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #8 Averau $10

Race 3
Thinking 2 strong chances here.  Caveka was good winning first start when raced on pace then had no luck last time here when got back on the fence.  Breath of Life won well up the bush last time and looks as though the 1500m will suit.  Both horses drawn to get cushy runs.
Strong bet 1 unit #2 Caveka $3
Strong bet 1 unit #6 Breath of Life $4

Race 4
Another race where we think we can narrow chances down to 2.  Wrotham Heath was a little unlucky last time when not far off the winner.  With any luck over the same distance here looks the one to beat.  Vintage Lad has been around the mark of late in similar events and although no superstar, wouldn’t surprise if he won.
Strong bet 1unit #4 Wrotham Heath $3
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 Vintage Lad $6

Race 5
Not much to say about this race except if you like backing winners at $1.20, back Lankan Rupee.
Star sprinter of Autumn and should blow these away.  For your multiples I would work around Cauthen and Eloping, both promising youngsters but not in same league as favourite.
Best bet 2 units #1 Lankan Rupee $1.20

Race 6
One of the tougher races on programme here.  Sabatini hasn’t done much wrong in 3 runs to date and looks to be the one to beat again.  Pickin Time was well fancied at 2 runs last time in and was around the mark.  With natural improvement could be the one with most upside. Pittsburgh Flyer won well on debut in country and looks the value runner.  Kalabek will be getting home hard but probably looking for longer.
Value bet 0.5 unit #2 Sabatini $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #10 Pickin Time $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #13 Pittsburgh Flyer $8

Race 7
Not the best Dato Chin field I’ve seen and found it hard to analyse.  Had something on Star Rolling first up when gutsy winner and thinking is the one to beat here. Forteller is a winner twice second up before and looks the class runner.  Value comes from Gris Caro second up and has placed here before and Foundry who was well fancied last time but did nothing.  Has the tongue tie on here.
Strong bet 1 unit #9 Star Rolling $4.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #1 Forteller $6
Value bet 0.5 unit $10 Gris Caro $16
Value bet 0.5 unit $11 Foundry $9

Race 8
Thinking couple of strong chances here.  St Jean was terrific fist up here over 1500m when had backing.  If that run hasn’t taken edge off him will be hard to beat.  Would prefer over 2000m.
Pyrollic was also good here last time when drew off the track and covered ground but still hit line hard.  Our Voodoo Prince is a promising stayer looking for more ground, but wouldn’t surprise to see him get over the top of them at eachway odds.
Strong bet 1 unit #10 St Jean $4.50
Strong bet 1 unit #12 Pyrrolic $4
Value bet 0.5 unit #1 Our Voodoo Prince $7

Race 9
Tough sprint to finish off the day with many chances.  Club Command was well fancied first up and competitive at stronger level.  Lion of Belfort was super last spring, however didn’t reproduce that form in Autumn.  Repeat of spring form probably see him win.  Solsay has been runner up twice this time in and loves the track.  Trust in a Gust was gutsy winner here last time and has good strike rate.
Value bet 0.5 unit #5 Club Command $7
Value bet 0.5 unit #9 Lion of Belfort $8
Value bet o.5 unit #11 Solsay $7
Value bet 0.5 unit #13 Trust in a Gust $5

1st leg 1,2,5,10,13
2nd leg 1,4,6,7,9,10,11
3rd leg 1,4,10,12
4th leg 5,9,11,13