Limosty had terrific form around a couple very smart types in top class fields last prep when not really fancied. Thinking with natural improvement at second prep is right amongst the chances.
More Radiant has similar credentials and was competitive at first run when well fancied and finished third before heading to Sydney and being around the mark at top level. Fleet Espirit was good last time at the Valley when we fancied her, however this looks tougher. Looks the value.
Strong bet 1 unit #7 Lumosty $4.50
Strong bet 1 unit #9More Radiant $4
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Afleet Espirit $10
Marksmanship was good last time over unsuitable trip after being freshened for the spring carnival. Before that had been flying and out to more suitable trip here, looks a near good thing.
Trade Commissioner was well beaten in same race but has plenty of ability and also gets out to a more suitable trip. Livery has been competing at a lesser level but looks a promising type and will offer some value.
Best bet 2 units #5 Marksmanship $3
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 Trade Commissioner $6
Value bet 0.5 unit #12 Livery $8
The United States was terrific at first Aust start when came from well back to run third. Extra 200 metres and bigger track makes him a strong chance. Signoff had no luck first up over unsuitable 1400m and with no weight and extra journey also looks a strong hope. Stablemate Prince Of Penzance was fair in same race but will improve at this track and journey. Big Memory is worth watching first up over the 1700 at good odds.
Strong bet 1 unit #5 The United States $4
Strong bet 1 unit #7 Signoff $4
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Prince Of Penzance $8
Value bet 0.5 unit #4 Big Memory $14
Chivalry was pretty dam good coming from last first up to score over 1200. Can’t see why won’t repeat that on bigger track and at extra distance. Zebulon was good last prep winning here then placed after being caught wide. Fast Cash was good at Valley when came from a mile back to run second and Raposo probably should’ve won here last time with more luck.
Best bet 2 units #2 Chivalry $3.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #5 Zebullon $6
Value bet 0.5 unit #9 Fast Cash $8
Value bet 0.5 unit #10 Raposo $7
Commanding Jewel looked unlucky first up and should be suited by the 1400m. Bit concerned about wide barrier in small field as may have to go back in field. Gregers is flying at the minute and wil be on pace from good draw. Solicit is query runner first up. Goes well fresh and has plenty of ability.
Strong bet 1 unit #1 Commanding Jewel $3.50
Strong bet 1 unit #3 Gregers $3
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 Solicit $5
Tough race here with numerous chances. Brazen Beau has had success in both Sydney and Brisbane at Carnival level and can’t see shy cant do same in melbourne. Get the Nod was terrific first up at Caulfield when sat wide but proved too strong. Go Indy Go looks promising and will be getting home hard. Whilst Galaxy Pegasus looked super impressive winning by 7 lengths at Geelong.
Strong bet 1 unit #2 Brazen Beau $4.50
Strong bet 1 unit #3 Get The Nod $6
Value bet 0.5 unit #7 Go Indy Go $10
Value bet 0.5 unit #15 Galaxy Pegasus $10
Tough Group 1 event here with a few chances. We found Dissident at odds last time when he bolted in first up over 1400m. Looks the top pick again. Boban may look to have been a bit disappointing this prep, but hasn’t had things go his way. Puissance De Lune was better last time and this looks perfect for him.
Strong bet 1 unit #9 Dissident $4
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Boban $5.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 Puissance De Lune $6
Big field to come thundering down the straight over the 1200m. El Roca has had a couple of setbacks delaying first up run, but if anywhere near right looks the one to beat. Was good at Sydney Autumn Carnival at top level be it over more ground. Tango Daughter is also first up and preferred over more ground but could sprint well fresh. Chautauqua is also fresh here but looks to be a promising sprinter/miler.
Strong bet 1 unit #5 El Roca $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #14 Tangos Daughter $12
Value bet 0.5 unit #16 Chautauqua $7
Rhythm To Spare has good first up record and looks suited from barrier draw with Oliver on board.Desert Journey was good first up, but hasn’t done much second up in past. Our Hand Of Faith was also good first up over unsuitable distance and has won twice second up in the past. The 2 emergencies (By The Grace and Late Charge) were both good first up and if they get a run should be included.
Strong bet 1 unit #3 Rhythm to Spare $5
Strong bet 1 unit #13 Our Hand Of Faith $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #8 Desert Journey $14
1st leg 2,3,4,5,7,12,15
2nd leg 3,6,8,9
3rd leg 2,3,5,14,16
4th leg 3,8,13
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Good Luck and Good Punting,
Pete Brinky Melbourne Racing and the Crew at itipsports