Race 1
As per last weeks first race we will be staying out of race 1 as all runners are having first start.
Race 2
Quite keen on Earthquake here. Top 2yr old from earlier in the year, winning both Blue Diamond and Golden Slipper. Been close to the mark at 2 runs this time in and thinking will improve back in Melbourne. Danger looks to be More Radiant, who’s form may look a bit ordinary but with the addition of blinkers here, will improve.
Strong bet 1 unit #1 Earthquake $2
Value bet 0.5 unit #8 More Radiant $5.50
Race 3
Even bunch here taking on the 1400m. Turquoise King was a good third over 1200 a couple weeks back and from barrier 1 should box seat and get a cushy run. Will be there at the finish.
Sistine Demon was a little disappointing last time at group 1 level, should improve here at this level. Tangos Daughter was disappointing first up but does has a terrific record second up. Expect improvement from her.
Strong bet 1 unit #7 Turquoise King $3.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Sistine Demon $6
Value bet 0.5 unit #5 Tangos Daughter $6
Race 4
Small field to go around in the Schillachi Stakes here. Not Listenintome has been to the track 6 times for 3 wins and 3 seconds all at good level. If right here first up looks the one to beat.
Overreach hasn’t raced for over a year but was the top 2 yr old of 2013 winning the Slipper. Must be going alright for stable to have in melbourne for the Spring. Rubick showed plenty at first prep back in the Autumn and looked likely superstar. If primed first up, will be in the finish.
Strong bet 1 unit #3 Not Listenintome $4
Value bet 0.5 unit #4 Overreach $5
Value bet 0.5 unit # 7 Rubick $5
Race 5
Last ditch effort here for some of these runners to get a start in the Caufield Cup. Bonfire isan import from the Waterhouse stable who has been working up to a win in Australia after 3 runs.
Big Memory was good first up and thennot beaten far at the Valley last time behind The Cleaner.
Signoff has been racing like a horse crying out for 2400m plus and gets that here. Watch for improvement from him.
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Bonfire $7
Value bet 0.5 unit #9 Big Memory $7
Value bet 0.5 unit #10 Signoff $6
Race 6
Tough group 1 WFA event here. Fawkner was good first up when narrowly beaten by Dissident.
Should improve second up here. Happy Trails was unlucky last week when badly held up on fence. Dissident is flying this campaign but faces toughest task to date here. Value looks to be Crackerjack king who was a big improver last time out.
Value bet 0.5 unit#3 Fawkner $6
Value bet 0.5 unit#4 Happy Trail $6
Value bet 0.5 unit#7 Crackerjack King $14
Value bet 0.5 unit#10 Dissident $4.50
Race 7
Going for a few down in the weights here in the group 1 Toorak Handicap. Bull Point has been good all 3 runs this prep and got home hard over 1400 last time. Arabian Gold was terrific winning first up in Sydney and has plenty of ability. Solicit improved second up last time and will be hard to beat if left alone in front.
Value bet 0.5 unit#6 Bull Point $7
Value bet 0.5 unit#7Arabian Gold $7
Value bet 0.5 unit#8 Solicit $7
Race 8
Lumosty was good first up when running second then bolted in at next start be it at Maiden level. Has big wraps on her and should get good run. Go Indy Go improved last as we thought she might and if running on looks a top hope. Afleet Espirit hasn’t put a foo wrong this prep and no reason to jump off her now. Amicus was good last time when covered extra ground but fought on for second.
Strong bet 1 unit #6 Lumosty $4.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #2 Go Indy Go $5.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Afleet Espirit $5.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #5 Amicus $8
Race 9
Rich Enuff looks a future star and with any luck should account for these. Showed terrific acceleration last start and if can produce the same over the mile, look out! Looks Like the Cat is the obvious danger after running second to Rich Enuff at last 2 runs. Value looks to be Chilvary and Zebullon whom both weren’t suited by slow pace last time.
Best bet 2 units #3 Rich Enuff $2.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #7 Looks Like The Cat $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 Chilvary $12
Value bet 0.5 unit #13 Zebullon $14
Race 10
Thinking only 2 chances here! Girl Guide has a terrific strike rate and no reason why can’t continue here. Will box seat from gate 4 and be produced at right time. Shamal Wind has been good at 2 runs in this time and looks ready to win.
Strong bet 1 unit #1 Girl Guide $3
Strong bet 1 unit #2 Shammal Wind $3
Quaddie
1st leg 1,3,4,6,7,8
2nd leg 1,2,3,5,6
3rd leg 3
4th leg 1,2
Good Luck and Good Punting,
Pete Brinky and the itipsports Crew
