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Melbourne Racing Oct 4 2014

Race 1
Not bet here!  All runners having first start and suggest if you want to play, follow the money trail.

Race 2
Keen on one of the fillies here taking on the boys.  Kaizaen was good winner 2 runs back and then looked unlucky start.  The 1800m  looks ideal as does the bigger track.  Atmosphere is still a maiden but looks a good staying prospect.  Magicool at odds looks like he’ll be suited by the journey, whilst San Padre was a good winner in the country at first start.
Strong bet 1 unit #14 Kaizaen $4
Value bet 0.5 unit #7 Magicool $12
Value bet 0.5 unit #9 San Padre $9
Value bet 0.5 unit #11 Atmosphere

Race 3
Big query on Sea Moon here first up over the 2500m!  Looks the class runner and wouldn’t surprise.  Who Shot Thebarman won easily here last time and looks the one to beat again.  Marksmanship was disappointing when beaten favourite last time here but may pay to forget.  Previous form good.
Strong bet 1 unit #3 Who Shot The Barman $2
Value bet 0.5 unit #1 Sea Moon $4.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 Marksmanship $12

Race 4
Wandjina was terrific last week in Guineas prelude when got home hard at big odds.  Bigger track should suit and looks obvious top pick.  Staviva has been good this campaign winning 2 out of 2.
From good draw should get a cushy run.  Stratum Star also looks to have come up well this time in and drawn to be prominent.  Deconstructed gets out to a journey that looks like it will suit.
Strong bet 1 unit #2 Wandjina $3.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 Staviva $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #7 Stratum Star $7
Value bet 0.5 unit #10 Deconstructed $7

Race 5
Chautauqua looks very promising after super first up win down the straight.  Would’ve preferred wider draw but hoping can get to the outside and will be to good.   Bounding comes over from NZ with terrific form and must be respected.  Whilst value bets are Essay Raider, over from SA and Il Cavallo who goes well here.
Best bet 2 units #4 Chautauqua $3
Strong bet 1 unit #11 Bounding $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #7 Essay Raider $12
Value bet 0.5 unit #9 Il Cavallo $16

Race 6
Pittsburgh Flyer has been consistent at all 3 runs and looks like the 1600 will be ideal.  Maastricht
Is 2 from 2 and looks the have a bright future.  Drawn to get the run of the race and will be there at the finish.  Little Hottie bolted in at first start up the bush.  Bred to stay and 1600 looks perfect.
Value bet 0.5 unit #7 Pittsburgh Flyer $5
Value bet 0.5 #9 Maastricht $4
Value bet 0.5 unit #13 Little Hottie $8

Race 7
Group 1 race over the 2000m with a capacity field.  Happy Trails was terrific at second run this prep and did win this race last year.  Looks a top chance again.  Silent Achiever is working up to a win and needs to show something here.  Lucia Valentina looks to be a good chance in the Caulfield Cup and if so needs to be in the money here.  Chances to Entirely Platinum and Gris Caro who fought out the finish last time at Group 3 level.
Strong bet 1 unit #16 Lucia Valentino $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #2 Happy Trails $8
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 Silent Achiever $7

Race 8
Very open Mares race here with numerous chances.  Mays Dream is second up here and 3 from 3 second up in the past.  Hearing may be trained more as a middle distance horse this time in and with that in mind looks a good hope. Politeness was super first up and if they can run on looks competitive.  Sauvito has plenty of ability and from perfect draw and gear change looks suited.
Value bet 0.5 unit #1 Mays Dream $7
Value bet 0.5 unit #4 Politeness $7
Value bet 0.5 unit #10 Suavito $5

Race 9
Lucky Hussler hasn’t been far off stablemate Trust in a Gust of late and with that in mind looks a strong hope here.  Spirits Dance looks ready to win and may get a soft lead.  Ryder was good first up after campaigning against top 3yr olds last prep.
Strong bet 1 unit #2 Lucky Hussler $6
Value bet 0.5 unit #8 Spirits Dance $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #11 Ryker $5

1st leg 1,5,7,9,13
2nd leg 2,6,9,12,13,16
3rd leg 1,4,10
4th leg 2,8,11

Good Luck and Good Punting,
the iTipsports Crew