AFL Round 22 THURSDAY 7th AUGUST

Hawthorn versus Collingwood Match Preview

AFL Round 22 Hawthorn versus Collingwood Match Preview and stakes are high. A heavy powered Thursday night AFL game from the MCG with top 8 teams and top 4 aspirants. This is the typical “8 point game” with both sides coming off losses last week. This creates a road block at the top of the AFL premiership table. Collingwood sits second on 60 points and a superior percentage whilst 7th on 52 points and a poor percentage.

Collingwood is here on a 4 game trough run, unprecedented for a second place ranked team. That is, the Magpies have not beaten market expectation in the last 4 games. it is actually 4 of the last 5 games but who is counting! Hawthorn comes off a loss to Adelaide in Adelaide and it was the narrowest of peak losses. That is they JUST beat market expectation despite losing. However prior this, the Hawks had 3 of 4 trough results, so the profile of both teams here is not that different. Pressure is right on both teams.

Head to Head

Head to Head it is Collingwood 3-2 the last 5 contests and this includes winning the last meeting 107-56. But Hawthorn won the game prior easily 133-67. 4 of the last 5 games have been at the MCG where we are here. Interesting Hawthorns 2 wins at the G has seen them kick 100+ points. Equally interesting is the 2 close games, 5 and 4 point margins, have both been Collingwood wins. Total game scores in the mid to higher end range of 166 points per game in a wide range of 140 to 200 points.

Last 5 Games

The last 5 home and away games for each side has seen points for and against differentials very similar averaged out at 77 points per game for each. This really does indicate a high pressure, tight game. Collingwood’s 4 game trough run needs to be corrected and we feel it is overstretched and a bounce is due.
COLLINGWOOD 1 unit win $1.65 and 1 unit -7.5
1-19 POINT MARGIN COLLINGWOOD .25 unit saver bet $4.10
1-9 POINT SUPER MARGIN COLLINGWOOD .15 unit saver bet $7.80
2+ goals Lewis $2.30 Hawthorn and Elliot $1.70 and Mihocek $2.00

AFL and NRL Betting only $47 rest of season 
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