Going with one of the 2 fillies here against the boys. Azkadelia was unlucky last time out when close second. Has big wraps on her and believe heading to Thursdays Oaks. Kermadec comes down from Sydney after 2 starts for a win and a second. From the powerful Waller stable and looks the danger. Wandjina was quite respectable in Cox Plate and wouldn’t surprise here. Our Vespa didn’t have much luck in Guineas prelude and on best NZ form would be competitive.
Strong bet 1 unit #15 Azkadelia $3
Value bet 0.5 unit #1 Our Vespa $10
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Wandjina $8
Value bet 0.5 unit #7 Kermadec $5
Even bunch of fillies going around here in classic lead up to the oaks. Fontein Ruby is flying at the moment and looks the one to beat. Will be on pace and has a terrific will to win. Fenway has only had 2 starts but looks to have stayer written all over her. Whilst Abduction comes down from Sydney after a luckless run last time out.
Value bet 0.5 unit #1 Fontein Ruby $4
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Abduction $4
Value bet 0.5 unit #9 Fenway $5
Hucklebuck looks hard to beat here, although has drawn a bit wide. Was terrific first up in Adelaide and at best would be too good for these. Was good in the Autumn in melbourne and then competitive at Brisbane winter carnival. Generalise was good last time out when went back from wide draw. Thinking from better draw here can race more handy. Spy Decoder looked good winning mid week in Sydney last time out after finishing down the track in Epsom.
Strong bet 1 unit #4 Hucklebuck $3
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Generalife $7
Value bet 0.5 unit #12 Spy Decoder $10
Although Rich Enuff looks the one to beat and is a very exciting prospect am happy to risk him as coming back 400m in distance. Brazen Beau was back in winning form in Sydney last time and repeat of that would put him amongst chances. Scissor Kick has terrific strike rate in Sydney and looks a likely type. Nostradamus can improve back in Melbourne here at odds.
Value bet 0.5 unit #2 Brazen Beau $7
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Scissor Kick $12
Value bet 0.5 unit #7 Nostradamus $21
Signoff looks well placed here from good draw and with one of the worlds top jockeys on board. Has addition of blinkers here which will be interesting but on recent form looks top pick. La Amistad has plenty of potential and is bred to be a super star. Has been around the mark in Sydney but may improve down here in Vic. More Than Sacred was good in Geelong Cup and looks to be an improver.
Strong bet 1 unit #9 Signoff $3
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 La Amistad $9
Value bet 0.5 unit #13 More Than Sacred $11
Many chance here in open McKinnon Stakes. Going away from the Cox Plate runners as fear they not have backed up from last weeks run. Rising Romance was terrific when second in Caulfield cup after looking winner half way up the straight. Drawn wide again here but will push forward. He’s Your Man was good in winning Epsom in Sydney last time out when covered ground. By passed Cox Plate for this. Amralah is interesting runner having first Aust start for team Williams.
Value bet 0.5 unit #8 He’s Your Man $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #12 Amralah $10
Value bet 0.5 unit #15 Rising Romance $5
Favourite looks a chance here but thinking way under the odds. Moonovermanhattan was good winning last week and no reason why can’t be amongst the finish here. Bondieger got home hard in same race last time and looks like the 2500m will suit. Atmosphere has been terrific at first prep and looks a good chance here with Moreira aboard. Preferment got home hard in Geelong Derby trial and also looks like he’ll stay all day.
Value bet 0.5 unit #2 Moonovermanhattan $8
Value bet 0.5 unit #9 Bondieger $10
Value bet 0.5 unit #11 Atmosphere $10
Value bet 0.5 unit #13 Preferment $6
Hard to go past Sweet Idea here. Distance slight query but from good draw and set weights, looks the obvious. Mays Dream has been set for this race and comes here primed to be in the finish. Big track should suit. Thinking she can get home hard over the top of them. Solicit will be on pace and if suiting front runners will be a good each-way hope. Politeness has plenty of potential and has to be put in but not sure about the set weights.
Strong bet 1 unit #4 Mays Dream $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #1 Sweet Idea $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #7 Solicit $8
Value bet 0.5 unit #14 Politeness $10
Deep Field looks the standout of the day but will be at short odds. 4 from 4 in Sydney, all by massive margins. Anchor him in quaddie and hope for some value in other legs. If for some reason he doesn’t run, Bel Sprinter, That’s A Good Idea and Eclair Big Bang would be the ones to work around.
Best bet 2 units #6 Deep Field $1.50
1st leg 1,2,8,12,13,15
2nd leg 1,2,9,11,13,
3rd leg 1,2,4,7,14
4th leg 6