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Home » sports » Horse Racing » Melbourne Racing » Cox Plate Day 25th October

Cox Plate Day 25th October

Race 1
As with last weeks 2 yr old event, happy to stay out as there are too many uncertainties!
#9 Fontition has trialled well and has wraps on her, if you feel the urge to play!

Race 2
Going with a couple down in the weights here.  Miss Steele has plenty of ability and has been racing in top Mares Class with big weights.  Comes back in distance and not ideally drawn in barrier 1 but with no weight is my top pick.  Value looks to be Minaj.  Has good strike rate but struggling to find form this prep.  Wouldn’t surprise to see her improve at good each way odds!
Strong bet 1 unit #10 Miss Steele $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #11 Minaj $10

Race 3
Lumosty looks one of the better bets of the day.  Was highly fancied in Guineas but blue the start and got too far back.  With blinkers on and good draw should posy up closer in run and be too strong.  Value looks to be Tahni Dancer who finished in front of Lumosty in Guineas but doesn’t look to have the upside and Little Hottie, good winner first up and the competitive in town next start.
Best bet 2 units #1 Lumosty $1.80
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Tahni Dancer $5
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 Little Hottie $6

Race 4
Risen From Doubt was competitive in good Sydney Autumn 2yr old races and then was terrific first up in Adelaide when got home hard over shorter trip.  Greco bolted in first up in Sydney although was a wet track.  If not just a wet tracker, looks a good chance.  Galaxy Pegasus is 2 from 3 and only failure was in top class field down the straight.  Looks promising.
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Risen From Doubt $6
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 Greco $4.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #10 Galaxy Pegasus $6

Race 5
Opinion looks the obvious here but happy to go around him and look for a bit of value.  Le Roi has been working up to a win and the 2500 looks ideal.  Prince of Penzance has been struggling a bit this prep, but looked to be back on track with a second last time in Moe Cup.  Epingle looks to have come up well this time in and finally gets out to a suitable journey.
Value bet 0.5 unit #5 Le Roi $7
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 Prince of Penzance $8
Value bet 0.5 unit #9 Epingle $8

Race 6
Hard to go past Trust In A Gust here!  Flying at the moment, having won last 2 starts at Group1 level.  Only needs luck and wins.  Speediness and Akavoroun were quite sound in same race but can’t see them turning the tables.  Hooked was terrific last time in Sydney but not sure about him at WFA.
Best bet 2 units #5 Trust In A Gust $2
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Akavoroun $8
Value bet 0.5 unit #6 Hooked $7

Race 7
Chivalry was nominated for Cox Plate but didn’t get a run.  If stable thinking good enough for that must be a top chance here. Atmosphere looks to be a stayer on the up and should be suited by the 200m.  Go Indy Go is the class runner here, be it she’s a filly taking on the boys.  At best she probably wins but not sure if she’s travelling that well.
Value bet 0.5 unit #3 Chivalry $6
Value bet 0.5 unit #10 Atmosphere $6
Value bet 0.5 unit #13 Go Indy Go $6

Race 8
WFA grand final for the year!  Thinking from good draw and terrific WFA form leading up to race, Fawkner is the one to beat.  Criterion and Sacred Falls were both good behind him last time and thinking one of the 3 wins.  Sweynesse is the interesting 3yr old this year, with a terrific strike rate and no weight looks the value in the race.
Strong bet 1 unit #2 Fawkner $4.50
Value bet 0.5 unit #1 Sacred Falls $7
Value bet 0.5 unit #8 Criterion $8
Value bet 0.5 unit #13 Sweynesse $17

Race 9
Suavito look to be the obvious here after 3 terrific runs this prep.  However did stay in the barriers at 1 run this time and failed to compete in race!  If jumps with them from good draw should be hard to best.  Gypsy Diamond has been competing at top level in Sydney and drop in class should suit.  Has won here before as 3yr old. Tangos Daughter was good placing in open company last time out and is nearing a win.
Best bet 2 units #4 Suavito $3
Value bet 0.5 unit #1 Gypsy Diamond $8
Value bet 0.5 unit #2 Tangos Daughter $6

Quaddie
1st leg 5
2nd leg 2,4,6,8,10,13
3rd leg 1,2,4,8,10,11,13
4th leg 1,2,4,6

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