At itipsports.com.au, we forecast the Adelaide Crows to make the AFL finals for the first time since their 2017 Grand Final loss. The Crows currently sit 3rd on the AFL ladder after Round 17, with a record of 12 wins and 5 losses, well inside the top 4 positions on the AFL Premiership table.

Recent form has been strong as they’ve won six of seven games, with impressive victories over Western Bulldogs and Sydney, cementing their position among the top echelon of teams. The Crows are now $1.53 in the AFL sports betting futures markets to ensure a double chance in the finals for 2025.

  • Ladder position: 3rd (12‑5 record)
  • Form: 6 wins in 7, including dominant wins and strong defensive displays
  • Market confidence: Strong – second favourite to secure a top‑4 finish

 

Verdict

The Adelaide Crows are well-placed to finish in the top 4 this season. Their current ladder position, solid form, and strong backing from betting markets all point to a high chance of locking in that coveted spot.

Here’s a breakdown of the 2025 Adelaide Crows’ ranking in both offence and defence:

 

 Offensive Performance

  • Points scored (For):
    total stands at 233 goals (1398 total points), ranking them approximately 3rd–4th in the league for scoring.
  • Inside‑50 efficiency & scoring chains:
    Adelaide boasts the 2nd-highest score-per-inside‑50 rate, powered by key forwards Riley  Thilthorpe, Darcy  Fogarty, and Taylor Walker. They also lead the AFL in points from turnovers, averaging around 75.2 points per game.

🔎 Summary: The Crows have a top-tier attack and elite in scoring chains, efficient entries, and capitalising on opponent errors.

 

Defensive Performance

  • Points conceded (Against):
    They’ve conceded 1600 points thus far, placing them around 10th–12th in terms of defensive stinginess.
  • Defensive turnovers:
    They surrender about 23.4 defensive-half turnovers per game, ranking 16th–17th.

🔎 Summary: While aggressive offensively, their defensive solidity is average, marred by susceptibility during transitions.

 

Key Takeaways

  1. Elite attack with rapid transition scoring and high inside‑50 efficiency.
  2. Average defence, often undone during turnovers or shot breaks.

Here are Adelaide’s remaining 6 home-and-away matches in 2025 (Rounds 19–24).

  • Round 19: Gold Coast Suns (home)
  • Round 20: Port Adelaide (home, Showdown)
  • Round 21: Hawthorn (home)
  • Round 22: West Coast Eagles (away)
  • Round 23: Collingwood (home)
  • Round 24: North Melbourne (away)

 

Final Possibilities

  • End 5–1: Likely if they take care of expected wins and snag a toss-up.
  • Could go 4–2: If they stumble
  • Upset potential: A win over Collingwood could elevate to 6 wins.

Summary

Adelaide is primed to finish strong, with a likely 4–5 wins in the final six games and a 4–2 record (or better) seems most realistic, supporting a top-4 push.